Investilo AI
Mercedes-Benz Group AG
Research Notice: This is AI-generated equity research for informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer or solicitation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Valuations, forecasts, and scenario analysis are illustrative and not a guarantee of future performance. Sources are cited — verify independently and seek professional advice before making any investment decision.

Mercedes-Benz Group AG (MBG)

Stock Analysis Report

Generated by investilo.ai 2026-04-30 13:02:30 CEST
CMP: 48.58500

Stock Journey

Stock Timeline Graph

Key Positives and Key Risks

Pros

  • Trailing P/E ratio of 9.18 and forward P/E of 6.34 indicate valuation below industry average, suggesting potential undervaluation.
  • Strong operating cash flow of approximately €18 billion TTM supports liquidity and operational stability.
  • Robust equity base of around €94.2 billion with an equity ratio of 35.5% provides financial resilience.

Cons

  • High total debt of approximately €100.3 billion with a debt-to-equity ratio over 100% raises leverage concerns.
  • Negative quarterly revenue growth of -12.4% and a 17% decline in Q1 net profit highlight recent operational challenges.
  • Slightly negative free cash flow of -€1.04 billion TTM indicates cash generation pressures.

Disclosure: This information is for general awareness and does not constitute investment advice

Report Summary

Mercedes-Benz Group AG is a leading German multinational automotive company listed on the XETR exchange, operating within the Consumer Cyclical sector and specifically the Auto Manufacturers industry. The company is renowned for its premium passenger cars and vans, including luxury marques such as Mercedes-Benz, Mercedes-AMG, and Mercedes-Maybach. It also provides financial services through Mercedes-Benz Mobility. With a global footprint spanning production in 17 countries and sales across over 180 markets, Mercedes-Benz Group maintains a strong market position in the luxury automotive segment.

The company reported trailing twelve months (TTM) revenue of approximately €132.2 billion, with a gross margin of 15.79%, operating margin of 10.76%, and net profit margin of 3.89%. Return on equity (ROE) stands at 5.68%, return on assets (ROA) at 1.67%, and return on invested capital (ROIC) is reflected in an EV/EBITDA ratio of 11.7, indicating moderate profitability and operational efficiency. However, quarterly revenue growth was negative at -12.4%, and quarterly earnings declined by 44.6% year-over-year, signaling recent challenges.

Valuation metrics show a trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 9.18 and a forward P/E of 6.34, with a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.50 and an enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) of 11.7. The market capitalization is approximately €43.14 billion. The stock price currently trades at €48.59, near its 52-week low of €47.40 and below the 52-week high of €62.34, suggesting the stock is priced at a discount relative to its recent peak, reflecting market caution.

Key strengths include solid operating cash flow of €18 billion TTM, a strong equity base with total shareholders’ equity around €94.2 billion, and a diversified product portfolio with ongoing new model launches. Risks involve intensifying competition in key markets such as China, as evidenced by a 17% decline in Q1 profit due to sales pressure, and high total debt of approximately €100.3 billion, with a debt-to-equity ratio exceeding 100%. Recent strategic actions include restructuring of retail operations in Germany and product launches including new S-Class and Maybach models.

Technically, the stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, with momentum indicators showing mixed signals across daily and weekly timeframes. Recent news highlights both earnings beats and profit pressures, especially from the Chinese market. Overall, the data suggests a cautious stance with potential for accumulation if operational challenges are addressed, while monitoring competitive and macroeconomic developments remains prudent.

Company and Industry Overview

Company Basics

Company Name:
Mercedes-Benz Group AG
Industry:
Current Market Price:
48.58500

Price Performance

52-Week High/Low:
Industry PE Ratio:
9.18

Company Size

Market Cap:
43.14B
Enterprise Value:
131.14B
Total Assets:
255.47B

Shareholding Pattern

Insiders:
20.26%
Institutions Investors:
38.38%
Shares Outstanding:
962.90M
Float Shares:
711.98M
Dividend Yield:
Shareholding Pie Chart

Sector and Industry Analysis

The global automotive sector generated approximately $1.7 trillion in revenue in 2022, with passenger cars constituting the largest segment. Key players include Toyota, Ford, Volkswagen, and Mercedes-Benz, which held a 4.55% market share by revenue. The sector is characterized by significant revenue contributions from SUVs and executive cars, with Mercedes-Benz deriving 46% of its revenue from SUVs and 21% from executive cars.

Industry dynamics are shaped by a transition toward software-defined luxury vehicles and electrification, driving innovation and competitive repositioning. Operational challenges, such as the 57.2% EBIT decline reported by Mercedes-Benz in FY25, highlight pressures on profitability amid evolving consumer preferences and supply chain constraints. Barriers to entry remain high due to capital intensity, technological complexity, and brand equity requirements, favoring established incumbents with strong balance sheets.

Regulatory frameworks increasingly emphasize emissions reduction and safety standards, accelerating the shift to electric and hybrid vehicles. Compliance with stringent European and global environmental regulations impacts product development and capital allocation decisions. The outlook suggests ongoing regulatory tightening, necessitating continuous innovation and adaptation by automotive manufacturers to maintain market relevance.

Note: Analysis synthesized from industry research, market reports, and regulatory filings. Information is subject to change based on market conditions.

Financial Ratios Dashboard

Profitability
Gross Margin 15.79%
EBITDA Margin 12.22%
Operating Margin 10.76%
Net Margin 3.89%
ROE 5.68%
ROA 1.67%
ROIC 3.71%
Valuation
Trailing P/E 9.18
Forward P/E 6.34
Price / Book 0.50
Price / Sales 0.33
EV / EBITDA 11.70
EV / Revenue 0.99
PEG Ratio 6.34
Liquidity & Leverage
Current Ratio 1.38x
Quick Ratio 1.06x
Cash Ratio 0.17x
Debt / Equity 0.873x
Debt / Assets 32.2%
Net Debt / EBITDA 4.13x
Equity Multiplier 2.71x
Interest Coverage N/A
Efficiency & Cash Flow
Asset Turnover 0.54x
Days Sales Outstanding 91.9 days
Days Inventory 79.3 days
Days Payable 37.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 133.8 days
FCF Margin -0.77%
FCF Conversion -15.88%
Capex Intensity 1.87%

Financials

Financial Metrics Chart

Peer Analysis

Company Name Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio EV/EBITDA Price to CFO
Mercedes-Benz Group AG €43.14B 9.18 0.50 11.70 2.40

Comparison Analysis: Mercedes-Benz Group AG currently lacks listed direct peers in the provided dataset for comparison. However, its valuation metrics such as a trailing P/E of 9.18 and P/B of 0.50 indicate a relatively low valuation compared to typical luxury automotive peers. The EV/EBITDA ratio of 11.7 suggests moderate enterprise valuation relative to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. Return on equity is low at 0.06%, reflecting recent profitability pressures. Overall, Mercedes-Benz’s financial metrics position it as a competitively valued player within the premium auto manufacturing sector.

Financial Metrics Comparison with Peers

Financial Metrics Comparison with Peer

Financial Statements

Comprehensive financial data including income, balance sheet, and cash flow metrics

Income Statement

fiscal_date 2025-12-31 2024-12-31 2023-12-31 2022-12-31 2021-12-31
Sales 132.21B 145.59B 153.22B 150.02B 133.89B
Cost Of Goods 109.88B 117.02B 118.84B 116.00B 103.22B
Gross Profit 22.33B 28.58B 34.38B 34.02B 30.68B
Operating Expense Research And Development 6.05B 5.58B 6.23B 5.60B 5.47B
Operating Expense Selling General And Administrative 12.20B 12.52B 12.42B 12.07B 12.00B
Operating Expense Other Operating Expenses 508.00M 345.00M 249.00M 937.00M 783.00M
Operating Income 4.87B 12.30B 17.52B 17.88B 14.98B
Non Operating Interest Income 623.00M 738.00M 678.00M 818.00M 307.00M
Non Operating Interest Expense 398.00M 586.00M 691.00M 427.00M 429.00M
Pretax Income 6.28B 14.15B 20.08B 20.30B 15.81B
Income Tax 953.00M 3.74B 5.55B 5.50B 4.76B
Net Income 5.33B 10.41B 14.53B 14.81B 23.40B
Ebit 6.68B 14.73B 20.77B 20.73B 16.24B
Ebitda 14.05B 21.34B 27.50B 26.90B 23.91B
Net Income Continuous Operations 6.28B 14.15B 20.08B 20.30B 28.77B
Minority Interests -190.00M -202.00M -270.00M -308.00M -390.00M
Preferred Stock Dividends 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Eps Basic N/A 10.19 13.46 13.55 21.50
Eps Diluted N/A 10.19 13.46 13.55 21.50
Basic Shares Outstanding N/A 1.00B 1.06B 1.07B 1.07B
Diluted Shares Outstanding N/A 1.00B 1.06B 1.07B 1.07B

Source: Financial statements and regulatory filings

Balance Sheet

fiscal_date 2025-12-31 2024-12-31 2023-12-31 2022-12-31 2021-12-31
Cash And Cash Equivalents 12.25B 14.51B 15.96B 17.68B 23.12B
Accounts Receivable 34.48B 39.86B 39.12B 38.49B 33.86B
Total Assets 255.47B 265.01B 263.02B 260.01B 259.83B
Total Liabilities 161.23B 171.38B 170.21B 173.47B 186.66B
Long Term Debt 53.01B 62.59B 55.09B 51.59B 62.68B
Shareholders Equity 94.24B 93.63B 92.82B 86.54B 73.17B

Source: Financial statements and regulatory filings

Cash Flow Statement

fiscal_date 2025-12-31 2024-12-31 2023-12-31 2022-12-31 2021-12-31
Operating Activities Net Income 6.28B 14.15B 20.08B 20.30B 28.77B
Operating Activities Other Non Cash Items -1.20B -1.36B -2.37B -1.30B -11.50B
Operating Activities Accounts Receivable 1.77B 170.00M -6.45B -1.52B 5.31B
Operating Activities Other Assets Liabilities 3.29B 534.00M -286.00M -3.08B -2.03B
Operating Activities Operating Cash Flow 10.14B 13.49B 10.98B 14.41B 20.55B
Investing Activities Capital Expenditures -5.29B -3.85B -3.46B -3.01B -3.75B
Investing Activities Net Intangibles -4.26B -4.63B -4.47B -3.42B -2.74B
Investing Activities Net Acquisitions 109.00M 353.00M 278.00M 2.49B -5.27B
Investing Activities Purchase Of Investments -12.30B -6.79B -4.71B -2.62B -5.69B
Investing Activities Sale Of Investments 12.56B 6.16B 5.02B 3.08B 4.38B
Investing Activities Other Investing Activity -12.00M -1.00M 28.00M 27.00M -7.00M
Investing Activities Investing Cash Flow -4.94B -4.12B -2.85B -35.00M -10.34B
Financing Activities Common Stock Repurchase -360.00M -4.92B -1.94B -48.00M -48.00M
Financing Activities Common Dividends -4.14B -5.49B -5.56B -5.35B -1.44B
Financing Activities Other Financing Charges -5.77B -106.00M -570.00M -13.31B -17.25B
Financing Activities Financing Cash Flow -10.27B -10.51B -8.76B -32.06B -35.91B
End Cash Position 12.28B 14.52B 15.97B 17.68B 23.18B
Free Cash Flow 8.26B 9.07B 6.26B 9.99B 17.23B
Financing Activities Long Term Debt Issuance N/A N/A 39.29B 38.43B 42.20B
Financing Activities Long Term Debt Payments N/A N/A -39.47B -51.95B -60.86B
Financing Activities Short Term Debt Issuance N/A N/A -512.00M 172.00M 1.46B
Financing Activities Common Stock Issuance N/A N/A N/A N/A 36.00M

Source: Financial statements and regulatory filings

Technical Analysis

Key Insights

  • Current trend shows the stock trading below both the 50-day (€54.17) and 200-day (€55.57) moving averages, indicating a bearish short-to-medium term momentum.
  • Key support levels are near the 52-week low at approximately €47.40, while resistance is observed around the 52-week high of €62.34 and the 50-day moving average near €54.17.
  • The price remains below the 10-day moving average, reinforcing short-term downward pressure.
  • Momentum indicators such as RSI are in a neutral to slightly oversold range, MACD shows bearish crossover signals, and Stochastic oscillators suggest limited upward momentum.
  • Multi-timeframe analysis reveals consistent weakness on daily and weekly charts, while monthly charts indicate a longer-term consolidation phase.
  • Potential market scenarios include a continuation of the current downtrend if support near €47.40 fails, or a rebound attempt if the stock can reclaim the 50-day moving average, with volatility expected amid mixed earnings news.

Trending News

1. Headline: Why UBS Group AG Shares Are Sliding Today - TipRanks.com

Summary: UBS Group AG ( ($CH:UBSG) ) is experiencing volatility. Read on for a possible explanation for the stock’s unusual movement. UBS Group AG shares came under pressure...

Sentiment: negative

2. Headline: Earnings call transcript: Mercedes-Benz highlights Q1 2026 gains amid stock drop By Investing.com

Summary: Earnings call transcript: Mercedes-Benz highlights Q1 2026 gains amid stock drop

Sentiment: positive

3. Headline: Mercedes-Benz Group AG (MBGAF) Reports Strong Q1 Earnings, EPS Beats Expectations

Summary: On April 29, 2026, Mercedes-Benz Group AG (OTCPK: MBGAF) announced its first-quarter results, showcasing a mixed performance amid challenging market conditions.

Sentiment: positive

4. Headline: El beneficio del primer trimestre de Mercedes-Benz cae un 17% por el desplome de las ventas en China Por Investing.com

Summary: El beneficio del primer trimestre de Mercedes-Benz cae un 17% por el desplome de las ventas en China

Sentiment: neutral

5. Headline: Mercedes-Benz profit slides amid cutthroat Chinese market - Digital Journal

Summary: Like other carmakers, Mercedes is struggling to compete with low-cost competitors in China - Copyright AFP CHARLY TRIBALLEAUGerman premium automaker Mercedes-Benz said Wednesday its first-quarter profit fell by almost a fifth as cutthroat competition in China shakes the world’s carmakers.

Sentiment: negative

Recent Updates

News Summary

As of April 29, 2026. Mercedes-Benz Group AG reported Q1 2026 revenue of €31.6 billion, down 5% year-over-year primarily due to adverse exchange rate effects. Net profit declined 17% to €1.43 billion, reflecting competitive pressures, especially in China. Free cash flow of the industrial business was €1.86 billion, a 21% decrease compared to the prior year. The company completed several retail sales initiatives in Germany and progressed with the sale of the Athlon Group. Significant product launches included new models of the S-Class, Maybach S-Class, GLE, GLS, VLE, and C-Class. EBIT fell 17% to €1.9 billion, with adjusted EBIT down 30%. Despite these challenges, net liquidity improved by 5% to €33.8 billion, and equity rose to €95.2 billion with a 35.5% equity ratio. Investments in property, plant, and equipment increased 9% to €749 million, while R&D expenditure decreased by 3% to €2.25 billion. The outlook for 2026 anticipates revenue at prior-year levels and EBIT significantly above last year, with adjusted returns on sales and equity expected to remain stable across business units.

News Sentiment

The recent updates convey a cautiously optimistic sentiment grounded in solid operational cash flow and liquidity improvements despite profit declines. Positive factors include successful product launches and strategic retail restructuring, which support future growth. However, the 17% drop in net profit and a 21% decrease in free cash flow reflect ongoing challenges from competitive pressures and currency effects. The mixed earnings performance and cautious guidance temper enthusiasm, indicating a balanced outlook with attention to market and operational risks. Overall, the sentiment reflects resilience amid headwinds, with strategic initiatives aimed at stabilizing profitability.

Source List

Analytical Overview

Analysis Summary

Mercedes-Benz Group AG’s valuation metrics, including a trailing P/E of 9.18 and forward P/E of 6.34, are below the industry average P/E of 9.18, indicating the stock is trading at a discount relative to peers. The PEG ratio of 6.34 suggests modest growth expectations relative to earnings. Revenue growth has been negative at -12.4% quarterly, and free cash flow is slightly negative, reflecting recent operational challenges, but operating cash flow remains strong at €18 billion TTM. The company’s financial health shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 106.4%, which may pressure leverage, although liquidity remains robust with €17.1 billion in cash. Sector-specific challenges include intense competition in China and tariff pressures, while opportunities arise from new product launches and electrification initiatives. Market positioning as a premium brand with global reach supports competitive advantages.

Overall Business and Market Assessment

Supporting Factors: strong operating cash flow, solid liquidity, and ongoing product innovation with new model launches

Risk Factors: high leverage, profit margin pressure from competitive markets, especially China, and currency headwinds

SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong global brand recognition in the premium automotive segment.
  • Robust operating cash flow of approximately €18 billion TTM.
  • Diversified product portfolio including luxury cars, vans, and financial services.
  • Extensive global production and sales network across 17 countries.

Weaknesses

  • High total debt of over €100 billion with a debt-to-equity ratio exceeding 100%.
  • Negative quarterly revenue growth of -12.4% indicating recent sales challenges.
  • Declining net profit margins with a 17% drop in Q1 2026 profit.
  • Free cash flow is slightly negative, reflecting operational pressures.

Opportunities

  • Expansion of electrified vehicle offerings and sustainable mobility solutions.
  • New product launches including updated S-Class and Maybach models.
  • Restructuring of retail operations to improve sales efficiency.
  • Potential growth in financial services and mobility solutions segments.

Threats

  • Intense competition in key markets such as China impacting profitability.
  • Rising raw material costs and tariff pressures affecting margins.
  • Currency exchange rate volatility influencing revenue and profit.
  • Regulatory changes and evolving emission standards increasing compliance costs.

Company Description

Mercedes-Benz Group AG is a German multinational automotive company headquartered in Stuttgart, Baden-Württemberg, renowned as one of the world's leading manufacturers of premium passenger cars and vans. Formed in 1926 through the merger of Benz & Cie. and Daimler Motoren Gesellschaft, it has evolved from Daimler-Benz, experiencing name changes like DaimlerChrysler and Daimler before rebranding to Mercedes-Benz Group in 2022 following the spin-off of its commercial truck division into Daimler Truck. The company operates through key segments: Mercedes-Benz Cars, featuring luxury marques such as Mercedes-Benz, Mercedes-AMG for high-performance vehicles, and Mercedes-Maybach; Mercedes-Benz Vans for commercial vans; and Mercedes-Benz Mobility, providing financial services, vehicle financing, ride-hailing, and charging solutions. With a global network of production plants across 17 countries and sales in over 180 markets, it holds stakes in entities like Daimler Truck, BAIC Motor, and Aston Martin. In 2023, Mercedes-Benz Group ranked among the top global carmakers by revenue, emphasizing innovation in safety features, electric vehicles, and sustainable mobility while maintaining its legacy of engineering excellence.