Investilo AI
Eli Lilly and Company
Research Notice: This is AI-generated equity research for informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer or solicitation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Valuations, forecasts, and scenario analysis are illustrative and not a guarantee of future performance. Sources are cited — verify independently and seek professional advice before making any investment decision.

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)

Stock Analysis Report

Generated by investilo.ai 2026-06-06 11:06:22 EDT
CMP: $1132.53

Stock Journey

Stock Timeline Graph

Key Positives and Key Risks

Pros

  • Revenue growth of 55.5% demonstrates strong top-line expansion and market demand.
  • Return on equity of 107.46% indicates highly efficient use of shareholder capital.
  • Free cash flow of approximately $9.16 billion supports financial flexibility and investment capacity.

Cons

  • High debt-to-equity ratio of 139% reflects significant leverage that may increase financial risk.
  • Price-to-book ratio of 31.65 suggests the stock is trading at a substantial premium to book value.
  • Enterprise value to EBITDA multiple of 28.80 is elevated relative to peers, indicating stretched valuation.

Disclosure: This information is for general awareness and does not constitute investment advice

Report Summary

Eli Lilly and Company is a prominent pharmaceutical firm listed on the NYSE under the healthcare sector, specializing in the discovery, development, manufacture, and sale of human pharmaceutical products. The company operates globally with a diverse portfolio addressing critical health needs such as diabetes, oncology, immunology, neuroscience, and obesity. It maintains a strong market position with innovative therapies including insulins and GLP-1 treatments, supported by a robust research pipeline and strategic partnerships to enhance access in emerging markets.

Financially, Eli Lilly reported trailing twelve months (TTM) revenue of approximately $72.25 billion with a gross margin of 81.93%, operating margin of 49.39%, and net profit margin of 34.99%, reflecting high profitability and operational efficiency. The company’s return on equity (ROE) stands at 107.46%, and return on assets (ROA) at 20.74%, indicating effective use of shareholder capital and asset base. Operating cash flow totaled $20.48 billion with free cash flow near $9.16 billion, underscoring strong cash generation capabilities.

Valuation metrics show a trailing P/E ratio of 39.23 and a forward P/E of 24.85, with a price-to-book ratio of 31.65 and an enterprise value to EBITDA multiple of 28.80. The market capitalization is approximately $985.37 billion. The stock price currently trades near $1,132.53, close to its 52-week high of $1,149.10 and well above the 52-week low of $623.78, indicating a strong price appreciation over the past year.

Key strengths include market leadership in multiple therapeutic areas, strong cash flow generation, and a diversified product pipeline with recent strategic vaccine acquisitions valued at $3.8 billion. Risks involve regulatory challenges, competitive pressures in the pharmaceutical industry, and the recent decision to halve planned investment in Germany. The company’s high debt-to-equity ratio of 139% warrants monitoring, although liquidity remains adequate with a current ratio of 1.50.

Technically, Eli Lilly’s stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, supported by positive momentum indicators across multiple timeframes. Recent news highlights continued investor interest driven by pipeline milestones and commercial expansion. The overall data suggest a market environment conducive to maintaining a watchful stance, balancing growth prospects against valuation and risk factors.

Company and Industry Overview

Company Basics

Company Name:
Eli Lilly and Company
Industry:
Drug Manufacturers - General
Current Market Price:
$1132.53

Price Performance

52-Week High/Low:
$1149.10 - $623.78
Industry PE Ratio:
20.88

Company Size

Market Cap:
$ 985.37B
Enterprise Value:
1.04T
Total Assets:
112.48B

Shareholding Pattern

Insiders:
0.16%
Institutions Investors:
85.39%
Shares Outstanding:
893.50M
Float Shares:
889.33M
Dividend Yield:
0.58%
Shareholding Pie Chart

Eli Lilly and Company’s ownership structure is dominated by institutional investors holding approximately 85.39% of shares, reflecting strong confidence from mutual funds, pension funds, and asset managers. Insider ownership is minimal at around 0.16%, indicating limited direct executive or board member holdings. The remaining shares are held by public investors and other entities, comprising about 14.45%. Over the past 12-24 months, institutional accumulation has been steady, with no significant shifts reported among major funds. This ownership pattern suggests robust institutional support, which may influence governance and strategic decisions, while maintaining broad market participation. The company operates within the highly regulated pharmaceutical industry, where innovation and pipeline development are critical for sustained growth.

Sector and Industry Analysis

The global pharmaceutical sector remains a multi-trillion-dollar industry characterized by steady growth driven by aging populations, rising chronic disease prevalence, and innovation in biologics and precision medicine. Leading players include Eli Lilly, Pfizer, Roche, and Johnson & Johnson, each with extensive R&D pipelines and diversified therapeutic portfolios. Growth is particularly strong in specialty areas such as metabolic diseases, oncology, and neuroscience, with expanding markets in obesity, diabetes, and Alzheimer’s disease treatments.

Industry dynamics are shaped by rapid innovation cycles, with companies investing heavily in novel modalities like bispecific antibodies, small molecule receptor agonists, and multi-target therapies. Barriers to entry remain high due to significant R&D costs, complex clinical trial requirements, and intellectual property protections. Competitive positioning increasingly hinges on pipeline productivity, strategic approvals, and the ability to address unmet medical needs, as exemplified by Eli Lilly’s leadership in incretin therapies and Alzheimer’s disease assets.

The regulatory environment continues to evolve with agencies like the FDA emphasizing expedited review pathways, such as the National Priority Review pilot that facilitated approval of novel oral GLP-1 receptor agonists. Safety monitoring and label updates, particularly for drugs targeting complex diseases like Alzheimer’s, are critical to maintaining market access. Ongoing regulatory support for innovation, balanced with rigorous safety standards, shapes the sector’s outlook by enabling faster patient access to breakthrough therapies while ensuring efficacy and risk management.

Note: Analysis synthesized from industry research, market reports, and regulatory filings. Information is subject to change based on market conditions.

Financial Ratios Dashboard

Profitability
Gross Margin 81.93%
EBITDA Margin 55.81%
Operating Margin 49.39%
Net Margin 34.99%
ROE 107.46%
ROA 20.74%
ROIC 40.05%
Valuation
Trailing P/E 39.23
Forward P/E 24.85
Price / Book 31.65
Price / Sales 13.64
EV / EBITDA 28.80
EV / Revenue 14.44
PEG Ratio 0.23
Liquidity & Leverage
Current Ratio 1.5x
Quick Ratio 1.1x
Cash Ratio 0.14x
Debt / Equity 1.390x
Debt / Assets 37.2%
Net Debt / EBITDA 0.94x
Equity Multiplier 3.74x
Interest Coverage N/A
Efficiency & Cash Flow
Asset Turnover 0.62x
Days Sales Outstanding 91.4 days
Days Inventory 416.0 days
Days Payable 153.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 354.2 days
FCF Margin 3.88%
FCF Conversion 11.09%
Capex Intensity 3.22%

Illustrative Scenario Analysis

DCF Value
$548.63
Monte Carlo (Lower)
$216.64
Monte Carlo (Upper)
$878.37
Upside %
N/A%

DCF Assumptions:

Current Eps: 23.07, Revenue: 65.18B, Revenue Growth Rate: 6.0, Operating Margin: 15.0, Earnings Growth Rate: 11.88, Fcf Per Share: 0.0, Beta: 1.0, Risk Free Rate: 4.5, Tax Rate: 25.0, Market Cap Category: mega, G1: 12.29, G2: 4.0, Lower: 216.6440807448489, Upper: 878.3677406533432, Currency Code: $, Method: Two-Stage EPS-Priority Model, Method Used: two_stage_eps

Method: Two-Stage EPS-Priority Model

Financials

Financial Metrics Chart

Peer Analysis

Company Name Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio EV/EBITDA Price to CFO
Eli Lilly and Company $985.37B 39.23 31.65 28.80 48.11
Novo Nordisk A/S Sponsored ADR $201.95B 10.70 6.42 1.88 10.95
Gilead Sciences Inc. $166.90B 18.30 7.11 12.31 15.45
Novartis AG Sponsored ADR $286.54B 21.51 6.21 14.37 14.94
Pfizer Inc. $149.21B 19.90 1.65 7.89 12.45
Bristol-Myers Squibb Company $116.77B 15.87 5.76 8.02 8.78

Comparison Analysis: Eli Lilly and Company exhibits significantly higher valuation multiples compared to its industry peers, with a trailing P/E of 39.23 versus peer averages ranging from approximately 10.70 to 21.51. Its price-to-book ratio of 31.65 is markedly above the peer group, reflecting premium market pricing relative to book value. The enterprise value to EBITDA multiple of 28.80 also exceeds peer averages, indicating expectations of strong earnings growth. Return on equity at 1.07% is higher than most peers, suggesting efficient capital utilization. However, the price to cash flow ratio of 48.11 is substantially elevated compared to peers, which may imply stretched valuation relative to operating cash generation.

Financial Metrics Comparison with Peers

Financial Metrics Comparison with Peer

Financial Statements

Comprehensive financial data including income, balance sheet, and cash flow metrics

Income Statement

fiscal_date 2025-12-31 2024-12-31 2023-12-31 2022-12-31 2021-12-31
Sales 65.18B 45.04B 34.12B 28.54B 28.32B
Cost Of Goods 11.05B 8.42B 7.08B 6.63B 7.31B
Gross Profit 54.13B 36.62B 27.04B 21.91B 21.01B
Operating Expense Research And Development 13.34B 10.99B 9.31B 7.19B 6.93B
Operating Expense Selling General And Administrative 11.09B 8.59B 6.94B 6.07B 6.14B
Operating Income 29.70B 17.04B 10.79B 8.65B 7.93B
Other Income Expense -3.96B -3.75B -3.92B -1.58B -1.46B
Pretax Income 25.73B 12.68B 6.55B 6.81B 6.16B
Income Tax 5.09B 2.09B 1.31B 561.60M 573.80M
Net Income 20.64B 10.59B 5.24B 6.24B 5.58B
Eps Basic 23.07 11.80 5.83 6.57 5.85
Eps Diluted 22.95 11.71 5.80 6.57 5.85
Basic Shares Outstanding 894.80M 897.54M 899.38M 950.18M 953.65M
Diluted Shares Outstanding 894.80M 897.54M 899.38M 950.18M 953.65M
Ebit 29.70B 13.46B 7.04B 7.14B 6.50B
Ebitda 35.09B 19.42B 12.46B 10.22B 9.56B
Net Income Continuous Operations 20.64B 10.59B 5.24B 6.24B 5.58B
Non Operating Interest Income N/A 175.20M 173.60M 62.80M 25.40M
Non Operating Interest Expense N/A 780.60M 485.90M 331.60M 339.80M

Data provided by Twelve Data

Balance Sheet

fiscal_date 2025-12-31 2024-12-31 2023-12-31 2022-12-31 2021-12-31
Cash And Cash Equivalents 7.27B 3.27B 2.82B 2.07B 3.82B
Accounts Receivable 17.76B 11.01B 9.09B 6.90B 6.67B
Total Assets 112.48B 78.71B 64.01B 49.49B 48.81B
Total Liabilities 85.94B 64.44B 53.14B 38.71B 39.65B
Long Term Debt 40.87B 28.53B 18.32B 14.74B 15.35B
Shareholders Equity 26.54B 14.27B 10.86B 10.78B 9.15B

Data provided by Twelve Data

Cash Flow Statement

fiscal_date 2025-12-31 2024-12-31 2023-12-31 2022-12-31 2021-12-31
Operating Activities Net Income 20.64B 10.59B 5.24B 6.24B 5.58B
Operating Activities Depreciation 2.00B 1.77B 1.53B 1.52B 1.55B
Operating Activities Deferred Taxes -1.71B -2.68B -2.34B -2.19B -802.30M
Operating Activities Stock Based Compensation 626.00M 645.60M 628.50M 371.10M 342.80M
Operating Activities Other Non Cash Items 3.53B 4.06B 4.10B 1.37B 1.70B
Operating Activities Accounts Receivable -7.00B -2.16B -2.45B -299.60M -1.28B
Operating Activities Accounts Payable 10.19B 2.61B 4.27B 1.69B -1.01B
Operating Activities Other Assets Liabilities -4.67B -2.51B -4.88B -1.39B 1.28B
Operating Activities Operating Cash Flow 23.60B 12.32B 6.10B 7.32B 7.35B
Investing Activities Capital Expenditures -7.84B -5.06B -3.45B -1.85B -1.31B
Investing Activities Net Intangibles -2.79B -2.74B -2.34B -1.04B -452.60M
Investing Activities Net Acquisitions -661.00M -947.70M -1.04B -327.20M -747.40M
Investing Activities Purchase Of Investments -645.00M -775.80M -829.00M -707.60M -1.01B
Investing Activities Sale Of Investments 964.00M 522.50M 700.30M 463.60M 847.40M
Investing Activities Other Investing Activity 1.00M -298.20M -191.90M -302.20M -191.70M
Investing Activities Investing Cash Flow -8.18B -6.56B -4.81B -2.73B -2.41B
Financing Activities Long Term Debt Issuance 13.17B 11.42B 3.96B 0.00 2.41B
Financing Activities Long Term Debt Payments -778.00M -664.20M 0.00 -1.56B -1.91B
Financing Activities Short Term Debt Issuance -4.34B -1.85B 4.69B 1.50B -4.00M
Financing Activities Common Stock Repurchase -4.11B -2.50B -750.00M -1.50B -1.25B
Financing Activities Common Dividends -5.38B -4.68B -4.07B -3.54B -3.09B
Financing Activities Other Financing Charges -772.00M -490.60M -335.00M -308.90M -295.90M
Financing Activities Financing Cash Flow -2.21B 1.23B 3.50B -5.41B -4.13B
End Cash Position 7.27B 3.27B 2.82B 2.07B 3.82B
Free Cash Flow 5.96B 414.30M -3.15B 4.60B 5.39B

Data provided by Twelve Data

Technical Analysis

Key Insights

  • The current trend shows a strong upward price movement with the stock trading near its 52-week high, indicating bullish momentum.
  • Key support levels are identified near $950 and $935, corresponding to the 50-day and 200-day moving averages respectively, while resistance is near the recent high of $1,149.
  • The stock price is above the 10-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages, suggesting sustained positive momentum across short, medium, and long-term timeframes.
  • Momentum indicators such as RSI are elevated but not yet in overbought territory; MACD shows a positive crossover, and stochastic oscillators confirm ongoing strength.
  • Analysis across daily, weekly, and monthly charts consistently indicates an upward trend with no significant reversal signals currently evident.
  • Potential market scenarios include continuation of the upward trend supported by strong fundamentals, with possible consolidation near resistance levels before further advances.

Trending News

1. Headline: What's Keeping Eli Lilly and Company in the Healthcare Spotlight?

Summary: Eli Lilly and Company remains shaped by GLP-1 demand, drug-development progress, manufacturing expansion, healthcare innovation, and operational execution.

Sentiment: neutral

2. Headline: Here’s Why Eli Lilly (LLY) is Among the 10 Best American Stocks to Buy and Hold for the Next Decade - Insider Monkey

Summary: Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY) discovers, develops, manufactures, and markets human pharmaceutical products internationally. While we acknowledge the risk and potential of LLY as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher ...

Sentiment: positive

3. Headline: CVS Health Just Announced Fantastic News to Eli Lilly Stock Investors

Summary: The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Eli Lilly. The Motley Fool recommends CVS Health and Novo Nordisk. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. CVS Health Just Announced Fantastic News to Eli Lilly Stock Investors was originally published by The Motley Fool ... COO The Cooper Companies, ...

Sentiment: neutral

4. Headline: HIMS Stock Slides Overnight: CEO Sees Healthcare Potential In Anthropic's AI Leap As Lilly, WeightWatchers Turn Up The Heat

Summary: The company also recently completed its acquisition of Eucalyptus, expanding its international footprint. However, competitors are also aggressively building their own healthcare ecosystems. On Thursday, WeightWatchers said its Med+ program is now available through Eli Lilly's LillyDirect platform, giving patients another route to obtain GLP-1 medications alongside behavioral, nutritional, and clinical support. On Stocktwits...

Sentiment: positive

5. Headline: 75% Upside For LLY Stock? | Trefis

Summary: Even without its metabolic business, management argues Eli Lilly (LLY) would be one of the fastest-growing pharmaceutical companies in the industry. This is not a single-product story. The company's immunology, oncology, and neuroscience medicines collectively grew by 160%, showing the depth ...

Sentiment: positive

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Recent Updates

News Summary

As of 2026-06-03. Eli Lilly has strategically diversified its portfolio through acquisitions of three vaccine companies for up to $3.8 billion, targeting vaccines for shingles, bacterial infections, and viruses including Epstein-Barr. This move aims to mitigate future competition in the weight-loss drug market and broaden therapeutic reach. Additionally, the company reported one of the most impressive quarterly earnings in big pharma history, driven by robust growth across immunology, oncology, and neuroscience segments. The diversified portfolio contributed to a significant revenue increase, reinforcing Lilly's evolution beyond a single-product focus and highlighting its strong growth trajectory.

News Sentiment

The overall sentiment from recent updates is positive, driven by strategic acquisitions expanding the vaccine portfolio and strong quarterly earnings performance. The diversification beyond weight-loss drugs and robust growth in multiple therapeutic areas underpin confidence in the company’s long-term prospects. There are no significant negative developments reported in the recent updates, reflecting a constructive business outlook.

Source List

  • https://www.indexbox.io/blog/eli-lilly-expands-beyond-weight-loss-with-vaccine-acquisitions/
  • https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/06/03/where-will-eli-lilly-stock-be-in-2028/

Analytical Overview

Analysis Summary

Eli Lilly’s valuation metrics, including a trailing P/E of 39.23 and forward P/E of 24.85, are elevated relative to the industry average P/E of 39.23, reflecting market expectations of sustained growth. The company’s revenue growth rate of 55.5% and strong operating cash flow of $20.48 billion demonstrate a robust growth trajectory supported by diversified therapeutic segments. Financial health is solid with a current ratio of 1.50 and free cash flow of approximately $9.16 billion, although the debt-to-equity ratio of 139% indicates a relatively high leverage level that warrants attention. Sector-specific challenges include regulatory scrutiny and competitive pressures, while opportunities arise from expanding vaccine acquisitions and innovation in metabolic and oncology therapies. Market positioning and competitive advantages are underpinned by a strong institutional ownership base and a diversified product pipeline.

Overall Business and Market Assessment

Supporting Factors: Eli Lilly’s strong revenue growth, diversified portfolio expansion through vaccine acquisitions, and solid cash flow generation

Risk Factors: the company’s elevated debt levels and regulatory environment challenges

SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong market leadership in multiple therapeutic areas including diabetes and oncology.
  • Robust revenue growth of 55.5% and high profit margins indicating operational efficiency.
  • Diversified product pipeline with recent strategic vaccine acquisitions.
  • Solid cash flow generation supporting ongoing investments and shareholder returns.

Weaknesses

  • High debt-to-equity ratio of 139% indicating elevated leverage.
  • Price-to-book ratio of 31.65 suggests potentially stretched valuation.
  • Minimal insider ownership which may limit direct executive alignment with shareholders.
  • Dependence on competitive pharmaceutical markets with regulatory risks.

Opportunities

  • Expansion into vaccine markets with $3.8 billion acquisitions targeting infectious diseases.
  • Growing demand for GLP-1 therapies and metabolic treatments.
  • Potential for pipeline advancements in immunology, oncology, and neuroscience.
  • Strategic partnerships enhancing global access in emerging markets.

Threats

  • Regulatory challenges and pricing pressures in global pharmaceutical markets.
  • Intense competition from other large pharmaceutical companies and generics.
  • Macroeconomic uncertainties affecting healthcare spending.
  • Recent reduction in planned investment in Germany may impact growth plans.

Company Description

Eli Lilly and Company is a leading pharmaceutical company engaged in the discovery, development, manufacture, and sale of human pharmaceutical products. It focuses on innovative medicines addressing critical health needs in areas such as diabetes, oncology, immunology, neuroscience, obesity, cardiovascular diseases, cancer, and other therapeutic categories including bone muscle joint disorders, endocrine conditions, dermatology, autoimmune diseases, sleep apnea, migraine, and Alzheimer's disease. The company offers treatments like insulins, GLP-1 therapies for diabetes and obesity, oncology drugs, immunologic agents, and neuroscience products. Eli Lilly and Company supports access initiatives through partnerships for technology transfer and API supply to manufacturers in low- and middle-income countries, enhancing availability of insulins and other therapies in regions like Africa and Bangladesh. It maintains a robust research and development pipeline targeting non-communicable diseases, with late-stage projects in diabetes, cardiovascular, and oncology areas. Founded in 1876 and headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, Eli Lilly and Company plays a significant role in the global health technology sector by delivering therapies that improve patient outcomes across diverse medical fields.