Investilo AI
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
Important Disclosure: This report is an AI-generated, impersonal publication for informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a research recommendation, or an offer or solicitation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Any valuations, forecasts, technical indicators, and scenario analysis are illustrative only and not a recommendation to transact. No representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. Readers should do their own research and seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision.

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO)

Stock Analysis Report

Generated by investilo.ai 2026-02-23 01:54:47 EST
CMP: $124.06

Stock Journey

Stock Timeline Graph

Key Positives and Key Risks

Pros

  • Revenue growth of 2.72% quarterly and profit margin of 26.6% indicate solid operational performance.
  • Strong liquidity with $813.57 million in cash and a current ratio of 8.86 supports financial stability.
  • Institutional ownership at 80.9% reflects confidence from major investment entities.

Cons

  • High trailing P/E ratio of 106.03 and price-to-book of 17.22 suggest premium valuation risks.
  • Stock exhibits high volatility with a beta of 2.65, implying elevated market risk.
  • Recent stock price decline of approximately 32% over the past month signals short-term uncertainty.

Disclosure: This information is for general awareness and does not constitute investment advice

Report Summary

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. operates in the semiconductor industry, specializing in high-speed connectivity solutions essential for modern data infrastructure. The company develops advanced semiconductors, optical components, and system-level products that support data centers, cloud services, and enterprise networks. Positioned as a key player in Silicon Valley, Credo focuses on energy-efficient designs and sustainability within the technology sector.

Financially, Credo exhibits strong revenue growth with a trailing twelve-month revenue of approximately $796 million and a profit margin of 26.6%. The stock trades at a high trailing P/E ratio of 106.03, with a forward P/E of 28.18, reflecting market expectations of future earnings growth. The company maintains a robust balance sheet with a current ratio of 8.86 and substantial cash reserves of over $813 million against modest debt levels. Valuation metrics such as price-to-book at 17.22 and enterprise value to EBITDA near 96 indicate a premium valuation relative to earnings.

Technical indicators show the stock price currently around $124, below its 52-week high of $213.80 but well above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, suggesting recent price consolidation. The company has recently achieved PCIe 6.0 certification, signaling technological advancement and potential market expansion. Institutional ownership is high at 80.9%, with insider holdings around 11.4%, indicating strong governance interest. Risks include a high beta of 2.65, implying elevated volatility, and valuation pressures given the premium multiples.

In comparison with peers in the semiconductor industry listed on US exchanges, Credo's market capitalization of $22.41 billion is smaller than giants like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. ($1.92 trillion) and NVIDIA ($4.62 trillion) but competitive among mid-cap players. Its P/E ratio is higher than most peers except Intel, which has an exceptionally high P/E. Price-to-book and EV/EBITDA ratios are also elevated relative to peers such as Qualcomm and Marvell Technology, indicating a relatively expensive valuation profile within its sector and geography.

Credo Technology Group stands at a pivotal juncture in the semiconductor connectivity market, marked by significant technological certifications and growing revenue streams. While the company benefits from strong institutional support and a healthy balance sheet, it faces challenges related to valuation multiples and market volatility. The ongoing developments in AI and data center demand present opportunities alongside competitive pressures. Given the current data, a balanced approach that monitors evolving market conditions and company performance may align with prudent evaluation strategies.

Company and Industry Overview

Company Basics

Company Name:
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
Industry:
Semiconductors
Current Market Price:
$124.06

Price Performance


52-Week High/Low:
$213.80 - $29.09
Industry PE Ratio:
54.22

Company Size

Market Cap:
$ 22.41B
Enterprise Value:
21.61B
Total Assets:
809.26M

Shareholding Pattern

Insiders:
11.4%
Institutions Investors:
80.88%
Shares Outstanding:
178.52M
Float Shares:
161.70M
Dividend Yield:
0%
Shareholding Pie Chart

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. exhibits a shareholding structure dominated by institutional investors holding approximately 80.88% of shares, reflecting strong confidence from mutual funds, pension funds, and asset managers. Insiders, including executives and board members, hold about 11.40%, indicating meaningful internal ownership and alignment with corporate governance. The remaining 7.72% is held by public shareholders and other retail investors. Over the past 12-24 months, institutional ownership has shown slight accumulation, with major funds like Vanguard Group increasing positions, suggesting positive market sentiment. This ownership distribution supports strategic decision-making and may influence future corporate actions, maintaining a balance between external investor expectations and internal leadership interests.

Sector and Industry Analysis

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. (CRDO) operates within the semiconductor sector, specifically focusing on high-speed connectivity solutions for data center and networking applications. The semiconductor sector is a critical enabler of the global digital economy, with a market size exceeding $600 billion as of recent estimates and projected compound annual growth rates (CAGR) in the mid-to-high single digits driven by expanding demand in cloud computing, artificial intelligence (AI), and 5G infrastructure. Key players in this sector include integrated device manufacturers and fabless companies such as Broadcom, NVIDIA, AMD, and Marvell Technology, alongside specialized firms like Credo that focus on connectivity components such as active electrical cables (AECs), SerDes chiplets, and optical interconnects.

Industry trends are strongly shaped by rapid technological advancements and evolving data center architectures. There is a pronounced shift towards higher bandwidth, lower latency, and energy-efficient interconnect solutions to support AI workloads and hyperscale cloud environments. Credo’s portfolio, including HiWire active electrical cables and PAM4 optical DSPs, aligns with the growing adoption of PCIe Gen5/Gen6 and Ethernet standards at 400G and beyond. The rise of AI and machine learning workloads has accelerated demand for advanced connectivity solutions that can handle massive data throughput while minimizing power consumption. Additionally, the industry is witnessing a gradual transition from traditional electrical interconnects to co-packaged optics, although this remains nascent and presents both a competitive threat and an innovation opportunity for players like Credo.

The regulatory landscape for semiconductor companies is complex and multifaceted, involving export controls, intellectual property protections, and environmental compliance. U.S.-China geopolitical tensions have intensified scrutiny on technology transfers and supply chain security, impacting companies with cross-border operations like Credo, which serves markets in the U.S., Taiwan, Mainland China, and Hong Kong. Compliance with the U.S. Export Administration Regulations (EAR) and restrictions on certain semiconductor technologies is critical. Additionally, patent licensing agreements and IP enforcement are vital for protecting proprietary technologies in this highly competitive sector. Environmental regulations also increasingly influence manufacturing and product design, emphasizing energy efficiency and sustainability.

Competitive dynamics in the semiconductor connectivity niche are characterized by high technological barriers to entry, significant R&D investment requirements, and the necessity for close collaboration with hyperscale cloud providers and OEMs. Credo’s competitive positioning benefits from its diversified five-pillar connectivity platform, strong IP portfolio, and early mover advantage in active electrical cables for data centers. However, competition from large semiconductor conglomerates and emerging optical interconnect startups creates pressure on pricing and innovation cycles. Market structure is moderately consolidated, with a few dominant players controlling large portions of the supply chain, but niche specialists like Credo can capture growth by addressing specific high-performance segments. The capital intensity and rapid pace of technological change serve as natural barriers, while customer concentration among hyperscalers demands continuous product differentiation and reliability.

Note: Analysis synthesized from industry research, market reports, and regulatory filings. Information is subject to change based on market conditions.

Illustrative Scenario Analysis

DCF Value
$26.29
Monte Carlo (Lower)
$2.67
Monte Carlo (Upper)
$8.85
Upside %
N/A%

DCF Assumptions:

Current Eps: 0.31, Revenue: 436.77M, Revenue Growth Rate: 6.0, Operating Margin: 15.0, Earnings Growth Rate: 2.0, Fcf Per Share: 0.0, Beta: 1.0, Risk Free Rate: 4.5, Tax Rate: 25.0, Market Cap Category: mid, G1: 14.41, G2: 4.0, Lower: 2.667666458852209, Upper: 8.846289176895816, Currency Code: $, Method: Two-Stage EPS-Priority Model, Method Used: two_stage_eps

Method: Two-Stage EPS-Priority Model

Financials

Financial Metrics Chart

Peer Analysis

Company Name Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio EV/EBITDA Price to CFO
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. $22.41B 106.03 17.22 95.99 125.99
Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Receipt $133.37B 169.24 17.29 121.53 87.63
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. ADR $1.92T 34.26 54.42 2.79 26.70
QUALCOMM Incorporated $152.60B 28.81 6.65 11.29 10.60
Intel Corporation $220.34B 809.33 1.93 19.37 22.72
Marvell Technology, Inc. $67.41B 27.99 4.80 28.38 35.65

Comparison Analysis: Credo Technology Group's valuation metrics indicate a higher P/E ratio and price-to-book multiple compared to most regional semiconductor peers, reflecting a premium market valuation. While its market capitalization is smaller than major industry leaders like TSM and NVIDIA, Credo's EV/EBITDA and price-to-CFO ratios are significantly elevated, suggesting expectations for strong future growth but also higher valuation risk. Peers such as Qualcomm and Marvell present more moderate valuation multiples, highlighting Credo's relatively expensive positioning within the sector.

Financial Metrics Comparison with Peers

Financial Metrics Comparison with Peer

Financial Statements

Comprehensive financial data including income, balance sheet, and cash flow metrics

Income Statement

fiscal_date 2025-04-30 2024-04-30 2023-04-30 2022-04-30 2021-04-30
Sales 436.77M 192.97M 184.19M 106.48M 58.70M
Cost Of Goods 153.87M 73.54M 78.00M 42.46M 20.42M
Gross Profit 282.91M 119.43M 106.19M 64.02M 38.28M
Operating Expense Research And Development 145.99M 95.53M 76.77M 47.95M 34.84M
Operating Expense Selling General And Administrative 98.92M 60.19M 48.25M 34.90M 28.67M
Operating Income 38.00M -36.29M -18.83M -18.83M -25.23M
Other Income Expense 16.87M 13.55M 914.00K -3.38M -62.00K
Pretax Income 54.87M -22.75M -17.91M -22.21M -25.30M
Income Tax 2.69M 5.62M -1.37M -37.00K 2.21M
Net Income 52.18M -28.37M -16.55M -22.18M -27.51M
Eps Basic 0.31 -0.18 -0.11 -0.25 -0.20
Eps Diluted 0.29 -0.18 -0.11 -0.25 -0.20
Basic Shares Outstanding 167.50M 155.09M 147.15M 88.40M 139.95M
Diluted Shares Outstanding 167.50M 155.09M 147.15M 88.40M 139.95M
Ebit 38.00M -36.29M -18.83M -18.83M -25.23M
Ebitda 60.81M -21.76M -6.91M -10.91M -23.02M
Net Income Continuous Operations 52.18M -28.37M -16.55M -22.18M -27.51M
Minority Interests N/A N/A N/A 0.00 0.00

Data provided by Twelve Data

Balance Sheet

fiscal_date 2025-04-30 2024-04-30 2023-04-30 2022-04-30 2021-04-30
Cash And Cash Equivalents 236.33M 66.94M 108.58M 259.32M 103.76M
Accounts Receivable 162.14M 59.66M 49.54M 29.52M 13.64M
Total Assets 809.26M 601.93M 397.29M 375.69M 155.49M
Total Liabilities 127.67M 61.73M 49.65M 41.53M 210.92M
Long Term Debt 12.69M 11.13M 12.87M 14.81M 0.00
Shareholders Equity 681.58M 540.20M 347.63M 334.16M -55.43M

Data provided by Twelve Data

Cash Flow Statement

fiscal_date 2025-04-30 2024-04-30 2023-04-30 2022-04-30 2021-04-30
Operating Activities Net Income 52.18M -28.37M -16.55M -22.18M -27.51M
Operating Activities Depreciation 21.94M 13.77M 9.51M 4.79M 2.22M
Operating Activities Stock Based Compensation 77.36M 39.02M 23.52M 9.19M 2.57M
Operating Activities Accounts Receivable -102.48M -22.24M -18.41M -20.55M -1.97M
Operating Activities Accounts Payable 41.93M 8.81M -3.84M 4.75M 1.34M
Operating Activities Other Assets Liabilities -63.78M 14.72M -29.17M -26.21M -6.66M
Operating Activities Operating Cash Flow 27.14M 25.71M -34.94M -50.21M -30.01M
Investing Activities Capital Expenditures -36.06M -15.65M -21.71M -17.58M -6.06M
Investing Activities Purchase Of Investments -258.73M -403.59M -159.23M 0.00 0.00
Investing Activities Sale Of Investments 406.78M 169.75M 50.00M 0.00 0.00
Investing Activities Investing Cash Flow 111.99M -249.49M -130.94M -17.58M -6.06M
Financing Activities Common Stock Issuance 0.00 173.43M 0.00 201.45M 99.35M
Financing Activities Other Financing Charges -15.56M -5.21M -616.00K N/A N/A
Financing Activities Financing Cash Flow -15.56M 168.22M -616.00K 201.45M 76.44M
End Cash Position 236.33M 66.94M 108.58M 259.32M 103.76M
Income Tax Paid 1.45M 1.05M 1.20M 427.00K 1.22M
Free Cash Flow 29.02M 17.09M -46.33M -48.41M -48.42M
Financing Activities Common Stock Repurchase N/A N/A 0.00 0.00 -22.91M

Data provided by Twelve Data

Technical Analysis

Key Insights

  • The current trend shows consolidation with the stock price trading below its 52-week high but above key moving averages, indicating a stable but cautious price action.
  • Key support levels are near $120, with resistance observed around $140 and the 52-week high at $213.80.
  • The price remains above the 10-day, 50-day (approximately $141.54), and 200-day (approximately $122.50) moving averages, suggesting underlying medium to long-term bullish momentum.
  • Momentum indicators such as RSI and MACD indicate moderate strength without overbought or oversold conditions, reflecting balanced market sentiment.
  • Analysis across daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes shows consistent price support with potential for volatility given the stock's beta of 2.65.
  • Current technical setup suggests possible sideways movement with opportunities for breakout if resistance levels are surpassed, while downside risk remains if support levels fail.

Trending News

1. Headline: Credo Technology Group (NASDAQ:CRDO) Stock Price Down 5.1% – What’s Next?

Summary: Shares of Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. declined 5.1% recently, trading as low as $123.43 with volume down 25% from average daily levels. The price movement reflects short-term market volatility and investor caution amid broader sector dynamics.

Sentiment: Negative

2. Headline: Credo Technology Group (NASDAQ:CRDO) Stock Acquired Rep. Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.

Summary: Representative Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. disclosed a purchase of Credo Technology Group shares valued between $1,001 and $15,000, signaling interest from political figures in the company's equity.

Sentiment: Neutral

3. Headline: Vanguard Group Inc. Boosts Stock Position in Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd $CRDO

Summary: Vanguard Group increased its holdings in Credo Technology Group by 0.9% in the third quarter, reflecting institutional confidence and accumulation amid market fluctuations.

Sentiment: Positive

4. Headline: CRDO Stock Skyrockets 2,870% — Inside Credo Technology Group’s Explosive Rally

Summary: Credo Technology Group has experienced an extraordinary rally from its all-time low near $7.20 to a recent high around $213.80, highlighting significant investor interest and growth potential in its market niche.

Sentiment: Positive

5. Headline: How Shifting Analyst Narratives Are Reframing Credo Technology Group Holding (CRDO) And Its Valuation

Summary: Analysts have adjusted Credo Technology’s fair value estimate downward slightly from $214.27 to $208.38, alongside a minor change in discount rates, reflecting evolving views on risk and revenue growth projections.

Sentiment: Negative

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Recent Updates

News Summary

Recent news on Credo Technology Group highlights a mixed market environment. The company maintains a strong outlook supported by PCIe 6.0 certification and positive revenue guidance, which underscores its technological leadership in high-speed data connectivity. However, the stock has experienced a significant price decline of approximately 32% over the past month, raising concerns about short-term volatility. Institutional investors like Vanguard have increased their holdings, signaling confidence amid market fluctuations. Analyst coverage by Goldman Sachs with a buy rating and price target reflects optimism about Credo's data center edge, although some narrative adjustments have trimmed fair value estimates. These developments collectively indicate a dynamic phase balancing growth prospects with market risks.

News Sentiment

Sentiment across recent news is mixed but leans toward cautious optimism. Positive themes include technological certifications, institutional accumulation, and strategic analyst coverage. Negative sentiments arise from recent stock price declines and valuation adjustments. Neutral reports focus on leadership activity and market positioning. Overall, the sentiment suggests attentive monitoring of both growth catalysts and volatility factors.

Analytical Overview

Analysis Summary

Valuation Metrics: Credo Technology's trailing P/E of 106.03 significantly exceeds the industry average, indicating a premium valuation. The forward P/E of 28.18 suggests market expectations of earnings growth, yet the PEG ratio is negative, reflecting complex growth-to-valuation dynamics.

Growth Trajectory: Revenue growth is positive at 2.72% quarterly, supported by increasing gross margins of 67.5% and operating margins near 29.4%. Cash flow trends show operating cash flow of $178 million and positive free cash flow, indicating operational strength.

Financial Health: The company exhibits a strong liquidity position with a current ratio of 8.86 and cash reserves exceeding $813 million, while total debt remains low at $16.4 million. The debt-to-equity ratio is modest at 1.28, supporting financial stability.

Sector Specific Factors: The semiconductor sector faces rapid innovation cycles and supply chain challenges, but Credo's focus on high-speed connectivity and energy efficiency aligns with growing demand in AI and data center markets. Competitive pressures and valuation volatility remain relevant considerations.

Market Positioning: Credo holds a strategic position in the technology sector with strong institutional backing and technological certifications, enhancing its competitive advantages within the global semiconductor landscape.

Investment Conclusion

Supporting Factors: Strong revenue growth and profitability margins support operational robustness.

Risk Factors: Elevated valuation multiples relative to peers may imply market pricing risks.

SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong revenue growth with high gross and operating margins.
  • Robust liquidity position with substantial cash reserves.
  • Technological leadership demonstrated by PCIe 6.0 certification.
  • High institutional ownership supporting governance and stability.

Weaknesses

  • Premium valuation multiples relative to industry peers.
  • High stock price volatility indicated by beta of 2.65.
  • Negative PEG ratio reflecting complex growth valuation dynamics.
  • Limited dividend yield offering no income return to shareholders.

Opportunities

  • Expanding demand for high-speed connectivity in AI and data centers.
  • Potential market share gains through energy-efficient product innovations.
  • Strategic partnerships and certifications enhancing market positioning.
  • Growth in hyperscale cloud and enterprise network infrastructure.

Threats

  • Intense competition from larger semiconductor companies.
  • Market sensitivity to valuation adjustments and investor sentiment.
  • Supply chain disruptions impacting production and delivery.
  • Regulatory and geopolitical risks affecting global operations.

Company Description

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. is a provider of connectivity solutions critical for modern high-speed networks and data infrastructure. Specializing in delivering cutting-edge products designed to optimize bandwidth, Credo serves a pivotal role in addressing the ever-increasing demand for efficient data transmission. Its offerings encompass high-performance semiconductors, optical components, and system-level solutions that are essential for data center, hyperscale cloud, service providers, and enterprise networks. Credo is at the forefront of a technological shift, bolstering the architecture that supports the digital ecosystem by enabling faster and more reliable data flows. Headquartered in the heart of Silicon Valley, Credo Technology Group has established itself as a significant player in the tech industry by fostering innovations that drive network efficiency and reduce operational costs. By focusing on energy-efficient designs and extensive industry partnerships, the company contributes to the broader market imperative of green computing solutions, thereby supporting sustainability in tech advancements. Through its technological prowess and strategic market positioning, Credo Technology Group holds a vital place in the infrastructure behind seamless global connectivity.