Investilo AI
Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd
Research Notice: This is AI-generated equity research for informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer or solicitation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Valuations, forecasts, and scenario analysis are illustrative and not a guarantee of future performance. Sources are cited — verify independently and seek professional advice before making any investment decision.

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL)

Stock Analysis Report

Generated by investilo.ai 2026-05-05 08:50:09 IST
CMP: 66

Stock Journey

Stock Timeline Graph

Key Positives and Key Risks

Pros

  • Forward P/E ratio of 10.31 indicates market expectations for earnings improvement relative to current high trailing P/E of 96.27.
  • Strong cash reserves of approximately ₹21.5 billion provide liquidity support amid operational challenges.
  • Strategic focus on premiumization and digital expansion aligns with growth opportunities in the Indian apparel market.

Cons

  • Negative net income margin of -3.65% and negative ROE of -5.52% highlight ongoing profitability issues.
  • High debt-to-equity ratio of 84.68% increases financial leverage and risk exposure.
  • Negative operating cash flow of ₹-2.87 billion and free cash flow of ₹-3.76 billion indicate cash generation difficulties.

Disclosure: This information is for general awareness and does not constitute investment advice

Report Summary

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd. (ABFRL) operates as a prominent entity in the Indian apparel manufacturing industry, listed on the NSE under the consumer cyclical sector. The company offers a diverse portfolio of fashion products through well-known brands such as Louis Philippe, Van Heusen, Allen Solly, Peter England, and Pantaloons. It maintains a significant presence across metropolitan and tier II and III cities in India, leveraging both physical retail outlets and digital platforms. ABFRL’s business model integrates branded fashion and retail operations, positioning it as a key player in the evolving Indian fashion landscape.

Financially, ABFRL reported trailing twelve months (TTM) revenue of approximately ₹76.89 billion with a gross margin of 58.8%, indicating strong top-line efficiency. However, the company posted a net loss margin of -3.65% and an operating margin of 8.88%, reflecting challenges in profitability. Return on equity (ROE) and return on assets (ROA) were negative at -5.52% and -2.26%, respectively, signaling inefficiencies in capital utilization and asset management. The company’s operating cash flow and free cash flow were negative at ₹-2.87 billion and ₹-3.76 billion TTM, underscoring cash generation pressures.

Valuation metrics reveal a high trailing P/E ratio of 96.27, contrasting with a forward P/E of 10.31, suggesting market expectations of improved earnings ahead. The price-to-book ratio stands at 1.24, and the enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is notably elevated at 197.15, indicating potentially stretched valuation relative to earnings. The stock trades at ₹66, near its 52-week low of ₹53.51 and significantly below the 52-week high of ₹295.70, reflecting considerable price volatility and market uncertainty.

ABFRL’s strengths include a robust brand portfolio, extensive retail network, and strong cash reserves of approximately ₹21.5 billion, albeit offset by substantial debt of ₹56.65 billion and a debt-to-equity ratio of 84.68%. Key risks encompass ongoing profitability challenges, high leverage, and competitive pressures within the apparel sector. Recent strategic initiatives focus on premiumization, network expansion, and digital growth, with management targeting mid- to high-single-digit growth in Pantaloons and breakeven timelines for emerging brands such as TCNS and TMRW.

Technically, the stock exhibits mixed signals with recent price momentum shifts and trading below major moving averages, indicating investor caution. The current market setup suggests a complex sentiment environment where accumulation or realization of gains may be influenced by forthcoming earnings and strategic execution. Overall, the data portrays a company navigating operational headwinds with strategic initiatives underway, warranting close observation of financial and market developments.

Company and Industry Overview

Company Basics

Company Name:
Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd
Industry:
Current Market Price:
66

Price Performance

52-Week High/Low:
Industry PE Ratio:
76.86

Company Size

Market Cap:
₹ 78.09B
Enterprise Value:
117.26B
Total Assets:
166.40B

Shareholding Pattern

Insiders:
57.12%
Institutions Investors:
13.02%
Shares Outstanding:
1.22B
Float Shares:
547.47M
Dividend Yield:
Shareholding Pie Chart

Sector and Industry Analysis

The Indian fashion and retail sector is a rapidly expanding market, projected to reach approximately $100 billion by the mid-2020s, driven by rising disposable incomes and urbanization. The sector encompasses diverse segments including apparel, footwear, and accessories, with key players such as Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL), Trent, and Reliance Retail dominating the landscape. Growth is fueled by increasing consumer demand for branded and value fashion, supported by an extensive retail network and e-commerce penetration.

Industry trends highlight a shift towards lifestyle and ethnic wear, with companies like ABFRL expanding through acquisitions and new brand launches to capture evolving consumer preferences. Competitive dynamics are characterized by aggressive store expansions, entry into new categories such as footwear and beauty, and a growing focus on direct-to-consumer (D2C) platforms. Barriers to entry include brand recognition, distribution scale, and capital intensity, which favor established players with robust balance sheets and diversified portfolios.

The regulatory environment in India’s retail sector includes policies on foreign direct investment (FDI), taxation such as GST, and compliance with labor and environmental laws. Recent reforms have facilitated greater FDI inflows, enabling international brands to enter and expand operations. Ongoing regulatory clarity and infrastructure development are expected to support sector growth, although companies must navigate complex compliance requirements and evolving consumer protection norms.

Note: Analysis synthesized from industry research, market reports, and regulatory filings. Information is subject to change based on market conditions.

Financial Ratios Dashboard

Profitability
Gross Margin 58.81%
EBITDA Margin 10.75%
Operating Margin 8.88%
Net Margin -3.65%
ROE -5.52%
ROA -2.26%
ROIC N/A
Valuation
Trailing P/E 96.27
Forward P/E 10.31
Price / Book 1.24
Price / Sales 1.01
EV / EBITDA 197.15
EV / Revenue 1.52
PEG Ratio -10.22
Liquidity & Leverage
Current Ratio 1.55x
Quick Ratio 0.92x
Cash Ratio 0.24x
Debt / Equity 0.736x
Debt / Assets 30.15%
Net Debt / EBITDA 16.22x
Equity Multiplier 2.44x
Interest Coverage N/A
Efficiency & Cash Flow
Asset Turnover 0.14x
Days Sales Outstanding 162.3 days
Days Inventory 1232.5 days
Days Payable 1170.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 224.5 days
FCF Margin N/A
FCF Conversion N/A
Capex Intensity N/A

Illustrative Scenario Analysis

DCF Value
₹88.63
Monte Carlo (Lower)
₹N/A
Monte Carlo (Upper)
₹N/A
Upside %
N/A%

DCF Assumptions:

Current Eps: -4.29, Revenue: 73.09B, Revenue Growth Rate: 6.0, Operating Margin: 15.0, Earnings Growth Rate: 8.0, Fcf Per Share: 0.0, Beta: 1.0, Risk Free Rate: 4.5, Tax Rate: 25.0, Market Cap Category: large, G1: 20.0, G2: 4.0, Lower: 0.0, Upper: 0.0, Currency Code: ₹, Method: Two-Stage EPS-Priority Model, Method Used: two_stage_eps

Method: Two-Stage EPS-Priority Model

Financials

Financial Metrics Chart

Peer Analysis

Company Name Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio EV/EBITDA Price to CFO
Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd. ₹78.09B 96.27 1.24 197.15 -27.20
Vedant Fashions Ltd. ₹103.74B 29.40 6.02 22.76 25.96
Page Industries Ltd. ₹410.30B 55.25 29.44 38.27 32.02

Comparison Analysis: Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd. displays a significantly higher trailing P/E ratio of 96.27 compared to peers Vedant Fashions Ltd. at 29.40 and Page Industries Ltd. at 55.25, indicating a premium valuation or market expectations for turnaround. Its price-to-book ratio of 1.24 is substantially lower than peers, suggesting a more conservative book value pricing. The enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is markedly elevated at 197.15, far exceeding peer levels of 22.76 and 38.27, reflecting lower current earnings or higher leverage. Negative price to CFO ratio contrasts with positive cash flow metrics of peers, highlighting cash flow challenges. Return on equity is negative at -0.06%, while peers maintain modest positive returns, underscoring relative profitability weaknesses. Overall, ABFRL appears stretched on valuation and profitability metrics relative to its regional apparel industry peers.

Financial Metrics Comparison with Peers

Financial Metrics Comparison with Peer

Financial Statements

Comprehensive financial data including income, balance sheet, and cash flow metrics

Income Statement

fiscal_date 2025-03-31 2024-03-31 2023-03-31 2022-03-31 2021-03-31
Sales 73.09B 139.30B 123.63B 80.93B 52.13B
Cost Of Goods 31.94B 63.07B 55.85B 37.44B 25.83B
Gross Profit 41.15B 76.23B 67.78B 43.49B 26.30B
Operating Expense Selling General And Administrative 8.61B 12.43B 10.67B 5.71B 3.73B
Operating Expense Other Operating Expenses 12.33B 21.16B 17.39B 11.20B 8.23B
Operating Income -4.48B -1.24B 3.38B 1.51B -3.69B
Non Operating Interest Income 108.10M 262.60M 102.10M 93.80M 24.20M
Non Operating Interest Expense 5.59B 8.72B 4.71B 3.48B 4.93B
Pretax Income -7.18B -8.29B -824.40M -1.45B -8.38B
Income Tax -942.10M -929.90M -229.70M -265.70M -1.02B
Net Income -4.56B -7.36B -594.70M -1.18B -7.36B
Eps Basic -3.53 -6.52 -0.38 -1.18 -8.23
Eps Diluted -3.53 -6.52 -0.38 -1.18 -8.23
Basic Shares Outstanding 1.06B 964.34M 947.73M 924.93M 816.70M
Diluted Shares Outstanding 1.06B 964.34M 947.73M 924.93M 816.70M
Ebit -1.60B 434.50M 3.89B 2.03B -3.45B
Ebitda 12.39B 15.43B 15.26B 11.35B 5.66B
Net Income Continuous Operations -4.87B -8.29B -824.40M -1.45B -8.38B
Minority Interests 800.00M 1.08B 234.70M 96.40M 634.90M
Preferred Stock Dividends 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Source: Financial statements and regulatory filings

Balance Sheet

fiscal_date 2025-03-31 2024-03-31 2023-03-31 2022-03-31 2021-03-31
Cash And Cash Equivalents 7.67B 4.54B 6.93B 1.18B 2.46B
Accounts Receivable 3.73B 12.79B 8.86B 7.56B 6.08B
Total Assets 166.40B 224.11B 170.41B 124.07B 102.61B
Total Liabilities 98.26B 176.90B 136.95B 96.18B 75.85B
Long Term Debt 39.71B 65.98B 48.54B 28.54B 25.68B
Shareholders Equity 68.13B 47.21B 33.46B 27.89B 26.76B

Source: Financial statements and regulatory filings

Cash Flow Statement

fiscal_date 2025-03-31 2024-03-31 2023-03-31 2022-03-31 2021-03-31
Operating Activities Net Income -4.87B -8.29B -824.40M -1.45B -8.38B
Operating Activities Stock Based Compensation 507.40M 253.50M 312.90M 291.30M 117.00M
Operating Activities Other Non Cash Items 6.77B 7.87B 4.33B 1.18B 1.50B
Operating Activities Accounts Receivable -4.15B -1.74B -1.08B -1.54B 2.25B
Operating Activities Other Assets Liabilities -1.13B 783.00M -11.81B -10.98B 6.89B
Operating Activities Operating Cash Flow -2.87B -1.13B -9.07B -12.50B 2.38B
Investing Activities Capital Expenditures -5.93B -7.41B -6.71B -3.18B -1.59B
Investing Activities Net Acquisitions -2.76B -16.09B -1.76B 0.00 -516.20M
Investing Activities Purchase Of Investments -7.59B -190.10B -127.92B -100.08B -124.11B
Investing Activities Investing Cash Flow -16.27B -30.18B -3.97B -5.61B -8.58B
Financing Activities Long Term Debt Issuance 8.83B 14.85B 10.86B 4.14B 6.92B
Financing Activities Long Term Debt Payments -20.61B -3.53B -4.62B -7.51B -8.34B
Financing Activities Short Term Debt Issuance -6.37B 6.56B 3.65B 4.32B -15.13B
Financing Activities Common Stock Issuance 41.90B 14.36B 7.73B 2.49B 22.39B
Financing Activities Financing Cash Flow 23.74B 32.23B 17.49B 3.44B 6.13B
End Cash Position 7.67B 4.54B 6.93B 1.18B 2.46B
Free Cash Flow 10.09B 5.94B -451.20M 6.03B 9.43B
Investing Activities Sale Of Investments N/A 183.41B 132.41B 97.65B 120.83B
Financing Activities Common Stock Repurchase N/A N/A -119.10M N/A N/A
Investing Activities Other Investing Activity N/A N/A N/A 13.70M -3.20B
Financing Activities Other Financing Charges N/A N/A N/A -10.00M 286.60M

Source: Financial statements and regulatory filings

Technical Analysis

Key Insights

  • The current trend shows mixed price action with recent upward movement but overall trading below the 50-day (₹61.82) and 200-day (₹73.99) moving averages, indicating a cautious or bearish intermediate trend.
  • Key support levels are identified near the 52-week low at ₹53.51, while resistance is observed near the 52-week high at ₹295.70 and the 50-day moving average around ₹61.82.
  • The stock price is currently above the 10-day moving average but remains below the 50-day and 200-day averages, suggesting short-term momentum may be positive but medium to long-term trends are weak.
  • Momentum indicators show RSI near neutral levels, MACD reflecting mixed signals with recent convergence, and stochastic oscillators indicating potential oversold conditions on shorter timeframes.
  • Multi-timeframe analysis reveals daily charts showing consolidation, weekly charts indicating bearish momentum, and monthly charts reflecting a longer-term downtrend.
  • Potential market scenarios include a consolidation phase with volatility around current price levels, with possible recovery if earnings and strategic initiatives improve, or further downside if cash flow and profitability pressures persist.

Trending News

1. Headline: Aditya Birla Capital reports 31% increase in Q4FY26 consolidated net profit at ₹1,129 crore - The HinduBusinessLine

Summary: The consolidated results include the results of 16 entities such as Aditya Birla Housing Finance, Aditya Birla Sun Life Insurance, Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC and Aditya Birla Health Insurance within the ABCL fold

Sentiment: positive

2. Headline: Aditya Birla Capital Q4 profit jumps 31%, NII climbs 27%; ₹2 lakh crore borrowing plan cleared - CNBC TV18

Summary: Aditya Birla Capital reported a 31% rise in Q4 net profit to ₹1,128 crore and a 27.4% increase in NII, while FY26 profit after tax rose 21% to ₹3,797 crore. The board also approved a higher borrowing limit of ₹2 lakh crore and cleared fundraising through debt securities, including NCDs, ...

Sentiment: positive

3. Headline: Why Aditya Birla’s ethnic wear brand TCNS is holding back on Q-commerce

Summary: At a time when fashion brands are experimenting with 30-minute deliveries and “instant wardrobes", TCNS Clothing, now part of Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL), is taking a traditional route.

Sentiment: negative

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Summary: Aditya Birla Re Share Price: Find the latest news on Aditya Birla Re Stock Price. Get all the information on Aditya Birla Re with historic price charts for NSE / BSE. Experts & Broker view also get the Aditya Birla Re Ltd. buy/sell tips detailed news, announcements, Forecasts, Analysts, Valuation, ...

Sentiment: neutral

5. Headline: Aditya Birla, Titan and 8 Other Stocks Announcing Q4 Results This Week

Summary: Earnings season gathers momentum this week, with key results likely to influence market sentiment and provide insights into consumption trends, discretionary demand, and overall market activity outlook.

Sentiment: positive

Recent Updates

News Summary

As of 6 February 2026. Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd. reported Q3 FY26 consolidated revenue growth of 8% year-over-year to ₹2,374 crore, with EBITDA increasing 13% to ₹370 crore and margin expansion of 70 basis points. Despite a reported loss of ₹137 crore, normalized loss was ₹115 crore, slightly higher than the previous year. The company continues to focus on premiumization, network expansion, and digital growth, with brands such as Pantaloons targeting mid- to high-single-digit growth and emerging brands like TCNS and TMRW aiming for breakeven in the coming years. The balance sheet shows gross cash of ₹2,100 crore and net cash of ₹600 crore after accounting for debt and subsidiary borrowings. Exceptional items related to Labour Code implementation impacted results, with management monitoring ongoing regulatory developments.

News Sentiment

The overall sentiment from recent updates is cautiously optimistic, driven by revenue and EBITDA growth alongside strategic initiatives targeting premium segments and digital expansion. However, persistent losses and regulatory-related exceptional charges temper the outlook. Positive cash position improvements and clear breakeven timelines for emerging brands support a constructive operational narrative. Mixed technical signals and market commentary reflect investor prudence amid ongoing challenges. The sentiment balances growth prospects with near-term profitability and regulatory risks.

Source List

Analytical Overview

Analysis Summary

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd. exhibits a trailing P/E ratio of 96.27, significantly higher than the industry average, while the forward P/E of 10.31 suggests market anticipation of earnings recovery. Revenue growth shows a decline of 45.6% quarterly, but year-to-date figures indicate a 10% increase, reflecting mixed growth momentum. The company’s financial health is challenged by a high debt-to-equity ratio of 84.68% and negative operating and free cash flows, pointing to liquidity and leverage concerns. Sector-specific challenges include competitive pressures in the apparel market and regulatory impacts such as the Labour Code, while opportunities arise from premiumization and digital channel expansion. Considering India-specific factors, the evolving consumer trends and regulatory environment play a critical role in shaping ABFRL’s market positioning and growth prospects.

Overall Business and Market Assessment

Supporting Factors: the company’s diversified brand portfolio, ongoing revenue growth in premium segments, and strategic focus on digital and omni-channel expansion

Risk Factors: sustained net losses, high leverage, and regulatory uncertainties impacting cost structures

SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong portfolio of well-known fashion brands with broad market appeal.
  • Extensive retail network across metropolitan and tier II/III cities in India.
  • Robust cash reserves supporting operational flexibility.
  • Strategic focus on premiumization and digital channel growth.

Weaknesses

  • Negative net income and profitability margins indicating operational challenges.
  • High debt-to-equity ratio of 84.68% increasing financial risk.
  • Negative operating and free cash flows impacting liquidity.
  • Elevated valuation multiples relative to earnings and cash flow.

Opportunities

  • Growing Indian apparel market with increasing consumer spending.
  • Expansion into premium and ethnic wear segments with strong growth potential.
  • Leveraging digital and omni-channel platforms to enhance customer reach.
  • Potential operational efficiencies from subsidiary amalgamations and regulatory clarity.

Threats

  • Intense competition within the apparel and retail sector.
  • Regulatory risks related to Labour Code implementation and compliance costs.
  • Macroeconomic volatility affecting consumer discretionary spending.
  • Market skepticism reflected in volatile stock price and technical indicators.

Company Description

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd. is a leading player in the Indian fashion and apparel industry, encompassing both retail and wholesale business operations. It serves a diverse market with a spectrum of fashion products ranging from casual and formal wear to ethnic clothing. The company operates well-known brands like Louis Philippe, Van Heusen, Allen Solly, and Peter England, which are staples in the men's clothing segment, alongside Pantaloons, a popular multi-brand fashion retail chain catering to a broader demographic. Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd. focuses on offering stylish, quality products paired with a robust retail presence across metros and tier II and III cities in India. Its significance in the market stems from a strategic blend of in-house and external brands, enabling diverse consumer engagement and positioning it as a significant contributor to the evolving fashion landscape in India. By leveraging both physical and digital channels, the company continuously adapts to trends, sustaining its influence and appeal in the competitive retail sector.